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Texas Senate
2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas: James Talarico (D) and Ken Paxton (R).
Talarico +2.9
49.6%James Talarico
46.7%Ken Paxton
Polls in this average
These are the polls in today’s figure. The link goes to the pollster’s own release or topline.
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Population | James Talarico | Ken Paxton | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ActiVotePolling data from VoteHub (votehub.com), licensed CC BY 4.0. Each figure links to the pollster’s own release. 2026-10-22–2026-10-28. | Oct 22–28, 2026 | 400 | Likely voters | 52.1 | 47.9 | VoteHub, citing ActiVote (opens in a new tab) |
| Quantus InsightsPolling data from VoteHub (votehub.com), licensed CC BY 4.0. Each figure links to the pollster’s own release. 2026-10-26–2026-10-28. | Oct 26–28, 2026 | 1,221 | Likely voters | 48.4 | 49.4 | VoteHub, citing Quantus Insights (opens in a new tab) |
| A2 InsightsPolling data from VoteHub (votehub.com), licensed CC BY 4.0. Each figure links to the pollster’s own release. 2026-10-23–2026-10-27. | Oct 23–27, 2026 | 631 | Likely voters | 50.2 | 47.2 | VoteHub, citing A2 Insights (opens in a new tab) |
| CNN/SSRSPolling data from VoteHub (votehub.com), licensed CC BY 4.0. Each figure links to the pollster’s own release. 2026-10-20–2026-10-27. | Oct 20–27, 2026 | 923 | Likely voters | 49 | 43 | VoteHub, citing CNN/SSRS (opens in a new tab) |
| Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey CenterPolling data from VoteHub (votehub.com), licensed CC BY 4.0. Each figure links to the pollster’s own release. 2026-10-21–2026-10-25. | Oct 21–25, 2026 | 2,000 | Likely voters | 49 | 47 | VoteHub, citing Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center (opens in a new tab) |
| YouGovPolling data from VoteHub (votehub.com), licensed CC BY 4.0. Each figure links to the pollster’s own release. 2026-10-13–2026-10-21. | Oct 13–21, 2026 | 1,000 | Registered voters | 50 | 45 | VoteHub, citing YouGov (opens in a new tab) |
| VoteHub/VerasightPolling data from VoteHub (votehub.com), licensed CC BY 4.0. Each figure links to the pollster’s own release. 2026-10-01–2026-10-20. | Oct 1–20, 2026 | 601 | Likely voters | 47.6 | 45.2 | VoteHub, citing VoteHub/Verasight (opens in a new tab) |
| Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. ResearchPolling data from VoteHub (votehub.com), licensed CC BY 4.0. Each figure links to the pollster’s own release. 2026-10-15–2026-10-19. | Oct 15–19, 2026 | 1,398 | Likely voters | 49 | 49 | VoteHub, citing Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research (opens in a new tab) |
| Emerson CollegePolling data from VoteHub (votehub.com), licensed CC BY 4.0. Each figure links to the pollster’s own release. 2026-10-17–2026-10-19. | Oct 17–19, 2026 | 1,000 | Likely voters | 48 | 46 | VoteHub, citing Emerson College (opens in a new tab) |
| PollfinityPolling data from VoteHub (votehub.com), licensed CC BY 4.0. Each figure links to the pollster’s own release. 2026-10-15–2026-10-18. | Oct 15–18, 2026 | 278 | Likely voters | 48 | 43 | VoteHub, citing Pollfinity (opens in a new tab) |
| Slingshot StrategiesPolling data from VoteHub (votehub.com), licensed CC BY 4.0. Each figure links to the pollster’s own release. 2026-10-15–2026-10-18. | Oct 15–18, 2026 | 969 | Likely voters | 51 | 47 | VoteHub, citing Slingshot Strategies (opens in a new tab) |
The average over time
Each point is PollCubby’s average on that day, using the same 14-day rule. A gap means no tracked poll had finished fieldwork in the previous 14 days.
- James Talarico
- Ken Paxton
Polls can be wrong. People change their minds, samples miss people, and the wording of a question changes the answer. This is an average of recent polls, not a prediction.